Financhill
Sell
26

HOG Quote, Financials, Valuation and Earnings

Last price:
$27.77
Seasonality move :
8.34%
Day range:
$27.69 - $28.71
52-week range:
$27.69 - $44.16
Dividend yield:
2.48%
P/E ratio:
6.26x
P/S ratio:
0.68x
P/B ratio:
1.03x
Volume:
1.5M
Avg. volume:
1.3M
1-year change:
-19.61%
Market cap:
$3.5B
Revenue:
$5.8B
EPS (TTM):
$4.44

Analysts' Opinion

  • Consensus Rating
    Harley-Davidson has received a consensus rating of Hold. The company's average rating is a Hold based on 4 Buy ratings, 10 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings.
  • Price Target Upside
    According to analysts' consensus price target of $37.17, Harley-Davidson has an estimated upside of 33.69% from its current price of $27.80.
  • Price Target Downside
    According to analysts, the lowest downside price target is $31.50 representing 100% downside risk from its current price of $27.80.

Fair Value

  • According to the consensus of 14 analysts, Harley-Davidson has 33.69% upside to fair value with a price target of $37.17 per share.

HOG vs. S&P 500

  • Over the past 5 trading days, Harley-Davidson has underperformed the S&P 500 by -3.67% suggesting its relative strength compared to the major market average is weak at this time.

Share Buyback

  • Harley-Davidson does have a share repurchase program in place at this time. The scale of a buyback program can materially affect share price and usually results in a higher earnings per share, all else being equal, when the share count drops.

Revenue Growth

  • Harley-Davidson revenues have been falling on a year-over-year basis for 1 quarter in a row. In the most recent quarter Harley-Davidson reported revenues of $1.2B.

Earnings Growth

  • Harley-Davidson earnings have been falling on a year-over-year basis for 1 quarter in a row. In the most recent quarter Harley-Davidson reported earnings per share of $0.91.
Enterprise value:
9.1B
EV / Invested capital:
--
Price / LTM sales:
0.68x
EV / EBIT:
12.57x
EV / Revenue:
1.64x
PEG ratio (5yr expected):
--
EV / Free cash flow:
11.80x
Price / Operating cash flow:
4.91x
Enterprise value / EBITDA:
10.24x
Gross Profit (TTM):
$2B
Return On Assets:
4.77%
Net Income Margin (TTM):
10.77%
Return On Equity:
17.84%
Return On Invested Capital:
5.57%
Operating Margin:
9.19%
Trailing 12 Months Fiscal Quarters
Period Ending 2022-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30
Income Statement
Revenue $5.6B $5.9B $5.6B $1.5B $1.2B
Gross Profit $2.1B $2.2B $2B $571.6M $437.7M
Operating Income $896.7M $804.3M $588.8M $209.3M $105.8M
EBITDA $1.1B $1.1B $887.8M $286.3M $179.8M
Diluted EPS $4.83 $4.92 $4.44 $1.38 $0.91
Period Ending 2020-09-30 2021-09-30 2022-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30
Balance Sheet
Current Assets $6.2B $4.7B $5B $5.4B $5.9B
Total Assets $12.5B $11.2B $11.9B $12.5B $13B
Current Liabilities $4.2B $3.4B $3.7B $2.7B $4.2B
Total Liabilities $10.8B $8.9B $9.1B $9.2B $9.6B
Total Equity $1.8B $2.3B $2.8B $3.3B $3.4B
Total Debt $9.5B $7.2B $7.2B $7.3B $7.8B
Trailing 12 Months Fiscal Quarters
Period Ending 2022-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30
Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow Operations $624.9M $680.5M $978.8M $296.2M $353M
Cash From Investing -$669.6M -$538.4M -$487.3M -$165.9M -$89.1M
Cash From Financing -$111.9M -$169.9M -$114.8M $228.7M $131.5M
Free Cash Flow $481.2M $474.9M $769.8M $243.9M $300.4M
HOG
Sector
Market Cap
$3.5B
$472.4M
Price % of 52-Week High
62.95%
71.01%
Dividend Yield
2.48%
0%
Shareholder Yield
8.43%
3.59%
1-Year Price Total Return
-19.61%
-12.82%
Beta (5-Year)
1.483
0.959
Dividend yield:
2.48%
Annualized payout:
$0.66
Payout ratio:
15.55%
Growth streak:
3 years

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Technicals

8-day SMA
Sell
Level $29.43
200-day SMA
Sell
Level $35.20
Bollinger Bands (100)
Sell
Level 31.41 - 37.03
Chaikin Money Flow
Buy
Level 571.1M
20-day SMA
Sell
Level $30.59
Relative Strength Index (RSI14)
Sell
Level 25.62
ADX Line
Sell
Level 43.17
Williams %R
Buy
Level -96.9014
50-day SMA
Sell
Level $32.00
MACD (12, 26)
Sell
Level -1.05
25-day Aroon Oscillator
Sell
Level -84
On Balance Volume
Neutral
Level 195.9M

Financial Scores

Sell
Altman Z-Score (Annual)
Level (1.5972)
Sell
CA Score (Annual)
Level (-1.0287)
Buy
Beneish M-Score (Annual)
Level (-2.3697)
Buy
Momentum Score
Level (6)
Sell
Ohlson Score
Level (0.5696)
Buy
Piotroski F Score (Annual)
Level (7)
Sell
Quality Ratio Score
Level (3)
Buy
Fundamental Score
Level (8)

Revenue Forecast

Earnings per Share Forecast

Company Profile

Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring segments, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 38% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2023.

Stock Forecast FAQ

In the current month, HOG has received 4 Buy ratings 10 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The HOG average analyst price target in the past 3 months is $37.17.

  • Where Will Harley-Davidson Stock Be In 1 Year?

    According to analysts, the consensus estimate is that Harley-Davidson share price will rise to $37.17 per share over the next 12 months.

  • What Do Analysts Say About Harley-Davidson?

    Analysts are divided on their view about Harley-Davidson share price and where it will be in the next 12 months. The majority of analysts rate the stock a Buy. However, a smaller subset of analysts suggest that Harley-Davidson is a Sell and believe this share price will drop from its current level to $31.50.

  • What Is Harley-Davidson's Price Target?

    The price target for Harley-Davidson over the next 1-year time period is forecast to be $37.17 according to 14 Wall Street analysts, 4 of them rate the stock a Buy, 0 rate the stock a Sell, and 10 analysts rate the stock a Hold.

  • Is HOG A Buy, Sell Or Hold?

    According to Wall Street analysts, the consensus rating for Harley-Davidson is a Hold. 10 of 14 analysts rate the stock a Hold at this time.

  • How Can I Buy Shares Of HOG?

    You can purchase shares of Harley-Davidson via an online brokerage firm such as TD Ameritrade.com, thinkorswim.com, e-trade.com, TastyTrade.com, or Schwab.com. Many other digital online brokerages exist such as RobinHood and Webull where you can purchase Harley-Davidson shares.

  • What Is The Harley-Davidson Share Price Today?

    Harley-Davidson was last trading at $27.77 per share. This represents the most recent stock quote for Harley-Davidson. Yesterday, Harley-Davidson closed at $27.80 per share.

  • How To Buy Harley-Davidson Stock Online?

    In order to purchase Harley-Davidson stock online, open a brokerage account, deposit funds into the account, and select an order type to purchase shares whether it be market or limit.

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